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Condoleezza Rice | May 3, 2018

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Political Risk: How Businesses and Organizations Can Anticipate Global Insecurity 

A Conversation with Condoleezza Rice, 66th Secretary of State & Amy Zegart, Senior Fellow at FSI

“Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice visited Duke Thursday evening to discuss her new book and to offer her take on current international hot topics, including North Korea and the Iran Nuclear Deal.

Rice was the first African-American woman to serve as secretary of state from 2005-2009. She was joined on stage Thursday by Amy Zegart, co-director of the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University, as they discussed their book entitled “Political Risk: How Businesses and Organizations Can Anticipate Global Insecurity” at an event sponsored by the American Grand Strategy Program.

Rice noted that political risk has been historically overlooked in favor of examining other types of risk and how to mitigate them.

“We thought that a lot of people had written about business risk—how to think about what kind of return on an investment you’re going to get and so forth,” Rice said. “But the slices of political risk have been multiplying.”

Although political risk has been traditionally associated with socialist dictators seizing private industries, the term has taken on a new meaning. Now, political risk generally refers to the effects that a government’s decisions might have on a company, Rice explained.

She emphasized that political risk is not necessarily a phenomenon originating with governments, as an ordinary person documenting an event can have wide-reaching political implications. She referenced the April 2017 video of a passenger being dragged off an overbooked United Airlines flight as an example.

“We talk about the fact that social activism has been democratized in a sense by technology…Anybody with a cell phone can subtly present political risk to your company—just ask United Airlines.”

Rice and Zegart explained that the idea behind the book came from a class they taught at Stanford Graduate School of Business about political risk. Many students lauded the course, and some even wished the class would have lasted longer, Zegart said. Several students also suggested that the materials and topics discussed in class would make for a great book, an idea that Rice and Zegart followed through with when their book was released this month.

One difficulty in dealing with political risk, Zegart added, is related to the difficulty of using the knowledge of risk to make the most rational decision in a given situation.

“We humans are terrible with probabilities—it’s why we’re worried more about shark attacks than heart attacks. There are all these cognitive biases or mental shortcuts that we use in our daily lives that make us blind to the real probability distribution.” 

Zegart mentioned that optimism biases are particularly prominent in business settings since the people occupying high positions in a business have likely taken many successful risks already in order to rise to that role.

The conversation then turned to current events, including the recent confirmation of Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. Zegart lauded Pompeo for his accomplishments as the director of the Central Intelligence Agency under a president who often shows skepticism toward the intelligence community.

Rice noted that Pompeo’s good relationship with President Donald Trump “will serve him very well” in his new role and applauded his efforts to fill vacancies in the State Department.”

Read more from “Condoleezza Rice visits Duke to discuss political risk, international affairs,” by Nathan Luzum at the Duke Chronicle.

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    پریست برای لایت روم موبایل

    لایت روم موبایل

    شما می توانید در سایت ما پریست برای لایت روم موبایل را به راحتی دانلود کنید و مطمئن باشید که بهترین پریست را جمع کرده ایم و با
    پرداخت هزینه ای ناچیز از تمامی امکانات بهره مند شوید .

    آموزش نصب پریست لایت روم موبایل

    برنامه Lightroom CC Mobile را بارگیری کرده و اگر قبلاً آن را انجام نداده اید ، یک حساب کاربری رایگان ایجاد کنید.

    فایل زیپ پریست خود را از حالت فشرده
    خارج کنید. پوشه پریست تلفن همراه
    را باز کنید. ( برنامه ای که برای باز کردن فایل ها
    ما می توانیم به شما پیشنهاد بدیم ، izip است.)

    فایل های DNG خود را انتخاب کنید
    و به لایت روم انتقال دهید.

    برنامه لایت روم را باز کنید و فایل هایی که انتقال داده اید رو می توانید
    به صورت عکس مشاهده کنید.

    عکس را باز کرده ،بر روی تنظیمات…
    (گوشه بالا سمت راست) کلیک کنید.از گزینه‌هایی که نمایش داده می شود، روی Create Preset کلیک کنید.

    این مرحله شما از قسمت Preset Name نام پریست و از قسمت Preset Group گروهی که دوست
    دارین پریست در آن ذخیره شود را
    انتخاب کنید.

    تبریک میگیم ، شما توانستید پریست ها
    را در برنامه ذخیره کنید اما هنوز بخش هیجان انگیزش در راه هست…

    ذخیره پریست در لایت روم موبایل

    در بالا نحوه ذخیره پریست در لایت روم موبایل آموزش داده شد
    .

    دانلود پریست لایت روم نسخه موبایل

    شما در سایت abasvp.ir می توانید بهترین پریست های نسخه موبایل رو دانلود
    کنید و استفاده کنید که در بالا
    نحوه استفاده رو به شما آموزش داده ایم .

    دانلود پریست برای لایت روم موبایل

    در سایت abasvp می توانید دانلود پریست
    برای لایت روم موبایل رو دانلود کنید و براحتی طبق
    آموزش استفاده کنید .

    دانلود پریست های لایت روم موبایل

    دانلود پریست های لایت روم موبایل
    چیزی که به دنبال آن هستید در این سایت یافت می شود
    .شما می توانید با پرداخت هزینه ای ناچیز این پریست ها را دانلود کنید .
    و براحتی تمام استفاده کنید
    اگر پریستی مد نظر شما باشد و
    در سایت موجود نباشد می توانید از طریق واتزاپ درخواست خودتون رو ثبت کنید .

    خرید پریست لایت روم موبایل

    خرید پریست لایت روم موبایل براحتی تمام در سایت abasvp
    قابل انجام هست و می توانید با هزینه ای کم تمامی پریست های
    سایت را دانلود کنید .

    آموزش استفاده از پریست در لایت روم موبایل

    برنامه Lightroom CC Mobile را بارگیری کرده
    و اگر قبلاً آن را انجام
    نداده اید ، یک حساب کاربری رایگان ایجاد کنید.

    فایل زیپ پریست خود را از حالت فشرده خارج کنید.
    پوشه پریست تلفن همراه را باز کنید.
    ( برنامه ای که برای باز کردن فایل
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    فایل های DNG خود را انتخاب کنید و
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    برنامه لایت روم را باز کنید و
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    صورت عکس مشاهده کنید.

    عکس را باز کرده ،بر روی
    تنظیمات… (گوشه بالا سمت راست) کلیک کنید.از
    گزینه‌هایی که نمایش داده می شود،
    روی Create Preset کلیک کنید.

    این مرحله شما از قسمت Preset Name نام پریست و از قسمت Preset Group گروهی که دوست دارین پریست
    در آن ذخیره شود را انتخاب کنید.

    تبریک میگیم ، شما توانستید پریست
    ها را در برنامه ذخیره کنید اما هنوز بخش هیجان انگیزش در راه
    هست…

    افزودن پریست به لایت روم موبایل

    افزودن پریست به لایت روم موبایل در بالا توضیح داده شد .

    اضافه كردن پريست به لايت روم موبایل

    اضافه کردن پریست به لایت روم موبایل در بالا توضیح داده شد
    .

    دانلود پریست لایت روم برای موبایل

    شما می توانید در سایت Abasvp.ir دانلود پریست
    لایت روم برای موبایل را به راحتی انجام دهید و فقط یک اشتراک ثبت کنید و به تمامی
    فایل ها دسترسی خواهید داشت .

    دانلود پریست رایگان برای لایت روم موبایل

    دانلود پریست با خرید اشتراک با
    قیمتی بسیار کم امکان پذیر است .
    برای این پریست ها و گلچین کردن آن
    ها زحمت بسیاری کشیده شده است .

    دانلود پریست پرتره لایت روم موبایل

    دانلود پریست های لایت روم حرفه ای
    عکس پرتره Dope Portrait Lightroom Presets مجموعه ای از پریست حرفه ای عکاسی برای لایت روم دسکتاپ و موبایل در سایت abasvp امکان پذیر است.

    دانلود پریست پاییزی لایت روم موبایل

    پریست ها، افکت های از پیش ساخته شده ای هستند که با اجرای آن ها تنظیمات
    خاصی روی عکس های شما اعمال می شود.

    شما می توانید به کمک پریست ها و با نصب ساده ی آنها، تصاویر خود را به راحتی تغییر دهید و جلوه های زیبایی را بر
    روی آن ها اعمال نمائید.

    این پکیج تمام مواردی که برای بهبود
    تصاویر مربوط به پاییز لازم است را دارا می باشد و می
    تواند نمای خاصی را به آنها اعطا کند.

    همچنین شما می توانید تصاویر مربوط به
    سایر فصل ها را به کمک این پریست ها به نمای پاییزی تبدیل کنید و از تغییر حالت آنها لذت ببرید.

    این پریست ها مخصوص نرم افزار Lightroom می باشند و استفاده ی آسانی نیز دارد

    قابل استفاده برای تمامی طراحان آلبوم دیجیتال و
    طراحان بروشورهای تبلیغاتی و آتلیه های عکاسی

    با شخصی سازی پریست ها ی مجموعه میتوانید آنها را با
    سلیقه خود ذخیره نمایید

    پریست اماده لایت روم موبایل

    پریست اماده لایت روم موبایل در سایت abasvp امکان پذیر هست و
    می توان با خرید اشتراک به پریست ها
    دسترسی داشت .

    دانلود پریست لایت روم موبایل

    دانلود پریست لایت روم موبایل اینجا می توان با تهیه اشتراک ویژه دانلود و
    استفاده کرد .

    دانلود پریست لایت روم موبایل رایگان

    دانلود پریست لایتروم موبایل با خرید اشتراک با قیمتی بسیار
    کم امکان پذیر است . برای این پریست ها و گلچین کردن آن ها زحمت بسیاری کشیده شده است .

    پریست های رایگان لایت روم موبایل

    پریست های رایگان لایت روم با خرید اشتراک
    با قیمتی بسیار کم امکان پذیر است .
    برای این پریست ها و گلچین کردن آن
    ها زحمت بسیاری کشیده شده است .

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